Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002279 0.002410 0.002549 0.002708 0.002886 0.003082 0.003313
2025-03-09 0.002049 0.002223 0.002417 0.002652 0.002934 0.003265 0.003693
2025-03-16 0.001943 0.002151 0.002394 0.002702 0.003093 0.003586 0.004279
2025-03-23 0.001858 0.002091 0.002371 0.002741 0.003233 0.003895 0.004911
2025-03-30 0.001762 0.002006 0.002305 0.002713 0.003278 0.004076 0.005397
2025-04-06 0.001663 0.001909 0.002215 0.002641 0.003248 0.004141 0.005711
2025-04-13 0.001593 0.001843 0.002159 0.002607 0.003264 0.004272 0.006163
2025-04-20 0.001493 0.001731 0.002036 0.002472 0.003117 0.004124 0.006069
2025-04-27 0.001452 0.001695 0.002010 0.002469 0.003167 0.004300 0.006645
2025-05-04 0.001438 0.001693 0.002029 0.002531 0.003322 0.004677 0.007787
2025-05-11 0.001405 0.001663 0.002007 0.002530 0.003375 0.004880 0.008626
2025-05-18 0.001399 0.001669 0.002036 0.002607 0.003564 0.005378 0.010563
2025-05-25 0.001356 0.001626 0.001996 0.002578 0.003576 0.005545 0.011720
2025-06-01 0.001309 0.001575 0.001940 0.002523 0.003539 0.005601 0.012577
2025-06-08 0.001293 0.001566 0.001947 0.002568 0.003687 0.006110 0.015997
2025-06-15 0.001276 0.001554 0.001948 0.002602 0.003820 0.006634 0.020915
2025-06-22 0.001244 0.001520 0.001915 0.002577 0.003834 0.006854 0.024786
2025-06-29 0.001204 0.001474 0.001860 0.002511 0.003759 0.006811 0.026438
2025-07-06 0.001175 0.001442 0.001826 0.002480 0.003752 0.006964 0.031118
2025-07-13 0.001124 0.001378 0.001741 0.002356 0.003541 0.006476 0.026452
2025-07-20 0.001106 0.001360 0.001727 0.002354 0.003586 0.006769 0.033806
2025-07-27 0.001103 0.001364 0.001745 0.002410 0.003765 0.007552 0.064974
2025-08-03 0.001087 0.001348 0.001732 0.002410 0.003816 0.007939 0.116558